Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.364098 1.690735 2.124565 2.767346 3.743782 5.268514 8.079590
2025-11-09 0.981109 1.339256 1.897562 2.921239 5.027109 10.196766 31.661574
2025-11-16 0.770273 1.109971 1.691929 2.918670 6.099048 18.289748 253.442330
2025-11-23 0.630868 0.939526 1.500545 2.799255 6.807468 30.442500 NaN
2025-11-30 0.560387 0.862769 1.447079 2.945820 8.669927 78.567656 NaN
2025-12-07 0.498017 0.784472 1.362339 2.961470 10.245651 242.937072 NaN
2025-12-14 0.443083 0.708661 1.260245 2.870322 11.267223 1073.521443 NaN
2025-12-21 0.402474 0.653079 1.188316 2.835395 12.765685 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.385222 0.640142 1.210671 3.135884 18.584072 NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.363653 0.614607 1.195584 3.297895 25.011131 NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.338763 0.578412 1.144797 3.286673 29.773483 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.313784 0.538926 1.077449 3.167887 32.200411 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.297447 0.516859 1.054408 3.255541 43.046258 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.285047 0.501979 1.048432 3.434077 66.340653 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.269398 0.477934 1.011438 3.427773 85.913519 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.252231 0.448708 0.954285 3.276301 91.612410 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.243953 0.439001 0.953299 3.461571 169.748075 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.233144 0.422264 0.927870 3.481411 260.858867 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.220929 0.401142 0.885537 3.365937 307.056462 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.211030 0.384712 0.855621 3.321801 438.715813 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.208534 0.385675 0.881265 3.703525 8037.128997 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.203286 0.379428 0.882271 3.911191 NaN NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.195592 0.366493 0.858608 3.896766 NaN NaN NaN